AZ Alkmaar vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.9%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 0
FEY
21%
24%
55%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
FEY
3 - 2
AZA
81%
12%
6%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1976 |
RJC
1 - 0
AZA
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1976 |
AZA
4 - 3
ADO
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 1976 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
74%
17%
10%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
1 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 4
PSV
20%
25%
55%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
0 - 0
ASS
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
0 - 0
GRA
86%
9%
5%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1976 |
PSV
4 - 0
NAC
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |