Europa League 1/32
Global 5-3
AZ Alkmaar vs PAOK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.9%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
AZA
3 - 1
WIL
57%
23%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 1
AZA
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PAO
2 - 3
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
AZA
5 - 0
BOS
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NEC
1 - 2
AZA
35%
26%
39%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
PAOK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
PAN
2 - 0
PAO
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAO
1 - 0
KER
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2004 |
PAO
2 - 3
AZA
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
MTA
1 - 0
PAO
42%
27%
31%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2004 |
PAO
1 - 2
MTA
56%
24%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |