Europa League Playoffs 1/16
Global 2-11
AZ Alkmaar vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
SCH
1 - 2
AZA
40%
25%
35%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
AZA
2 - 4
PSV
31%
24%
45%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
VIT
2 - 1
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 0
SCH
47%
24%
30%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AZA
1 - 1
SPA
63%
20%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
GUI
2 - 1
LYO
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
LYO
4 - 0
ASN
70%
19%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ASS
2 - 0
LYO
25%
26%
49%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
LYO
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
LYO
1 - 2
LIL
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |