AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
FEY
2 - 2
AZA
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
AZA
2 - 0
GAE
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BVO
0 - 2
AZA
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
AZA
1 - 0
VIT
48%
24%
28%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 1
AZA
29%
26%
45%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
RJC
0 - 1
NEC
47%
25%
29%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
NEC
6 - 2
ACH
79%
14%
7%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2014 |
TEL
0 - 1
NEC
15%
21%
64%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
NEC
5 - 1
JON
70%
19%
11%
|
68 | 54 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2014 |
JON
1 - 1
NEC
23%
24%
53%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |