AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.8%
8.6%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 1
KRS
62%
21%
18%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
NAC
2 - 1
AZA
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
4 - 2
AJA
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
KRS
5 - 3
AZA
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
AZA
7 - 0
RBC
76%
16%
8%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
SCH
2 - 1
NEC
68%
19%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2005 |
EXC
2 - 5
NEC
56%
22%
22%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
37%
26%
37%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
FEY
3 - 0
NEC
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 3
RKC
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |