AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 0
RKC
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 0
GCZ
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
TWE
1 - 3
AZA
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
AZA
2 - 1
SCH
60%
21%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
LOV
0 - 2
AZA
43%
24%
33%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2005 |
GRO
3 - 0
NEC
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2005 |
RJC
0 - 1
NEC
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
NEC
1 - 0
VIT
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2005 |
NEC
2 - 0
WIL
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2005 |
ADO
0 - 1
NEC
45%
25%
29%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |