AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2002 |
UTR
3 - 2
AZA
70%
17%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
AZA
2 - 2
WIL
40%
26%
34%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2002 |
RJC
0 - 0
AZA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
AZA
0 - 2
TWE
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
0 - 1
AZA
35%
25%
40%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
NEC
2 - 1
BOS
45%
25%
30%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2002 |
NAC
1 - 3
NEC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
GRO
2 - 2
NEC
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
NEC
3 - 1
FOR
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2002 |
SCH
4 - 0
NEC
71%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | -1 |