AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
14.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1999 |
VIT
0 - 1
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 3
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
3 - 0
NAC
72%
18%
11%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
WIL
2 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 1
UTR
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
NEC
3 - 1
VIT
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
AJA
3 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
PSV
2 - 0
NEC
85%
10%
5%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1999 |
SCH
3 - 2
NEC
72%
18%
11%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |