AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.8%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
9.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1986 |
SPA
0 - 0
AZA
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
4 - 1
UTR
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 1986 |
AZA
1 - 0
TWE
57%
23%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1986 |
MVV
0 - 0
AZA
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
AJA
8 - 2
AZA
86%
9%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1986 |
EXC
3 - 0
NEC
61%
24%
16%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
NEC
0 - 3
GAE
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
SPA
3 - 2
NEC
80%
13%
7%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
NEC
1 - 2
RJC
41%
26%
33%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |