AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.6%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1980 |
RBD
0 - 4
AZA
6%
11%
83%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AZA
12%
17%
71%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 7
AZA
22%
24%
54%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 0
RBD
93%
5%
2%
|
86 | 12 | 74 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
AZA
4 - 0
ADO
78%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1980 |
NEC
2 - 4
ADO
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
GRO
2 - 0
NEC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1980 |
NEC
1 - 1
EXC
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1980 |
PSV
0 - 0
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1980 |
NEC
4 - 2
NAC
50%
26%
24%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |