AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.5%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.8%
6.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 3
AZA
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1980 |
AZA
5 - 1
MVV
80%
14%
7%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1980 |
PSV
1 - 1
AZA
58%
22%
20%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
ZWO
1 - 0
NEC
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
NEC
0 - 3
TWE
17%
26%
57%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 1980 |
RJC
2 - 0
NEC
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1980 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
79%
14%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 1980 |
NEC
3 - 1
UTR
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +2 |