AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
RJC
0 - 2
AZA
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
AZA
2 - 0
AMS
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
FEY
0 - 2
AZA
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
AZA
0 - 0
GAE
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
TEL
2 - 2
AZA
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
0 - 0
GRA
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
2 - 0
EIN
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1977 |
RJC
1 - 0
NEC
60%
23%
17%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 1
AMS
55%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1977 |
FEY
2 - 0
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |