AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
22.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1974 |
AMS
1 - 0
AZA
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
AZA
3 - 1
GRO
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
RJC
0 - 0
AZA
51%
25%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
36%
29%
35%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
TEL
3 - 0
AZA
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1974 |
NEC
0 - 2
FEY
14%
22%
64%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
NAC
1 - 3
NEC
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 1974 |
NEC
0 - 2
TWE
22%
30%
49%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1974 |
NEC
2 - 2
GAE
46%
28%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1974 |
AMS
5 - 0
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |