AZ Alkmaar vs NEC Nijmegen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.7%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
PSV
1 - 0
AZA
74%
17%
8%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
AZA
1 - 1
GAE
36%
30%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
AMS
0 - 3
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
AZA
2 - 1
HFC
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 1973 |
UTR
2 - 0
AZA
74%
17%
9%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
NEC Nijmegen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1973 |
NEC
0 - 0
MVV
52%
26%
23%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1973 |
SPA
2 - 2
NEC
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1973 |
NEC
2 - 1
EXC
77%
16%
7%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1973 |
ADO
1 - 0
NEC
67%
20%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1973 |
NEC
7 - 0
BOS
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |