AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 5
SCH
50%
24%
26%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
PAO
2 - 2
AZA
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 2
TWE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
BVO
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VIT
3 - 2
NAC
65%
20%
15%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AJA
4 - 0
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
NAC
2 - 2
GRO
41%
26%
34%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
TWE
5 - 2
NAC
65%
21%
14%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |