AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
11.9%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
RJC
2 - 2
AZA
23%
24%
54%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
FEY
3 - 1
AZA
46%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
AZA
0 - 1
GRO
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2013 |
BOS
0 - 5
AZA
17%
22%
60%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
VVV
1 - 4
AZA
19%
22%
59%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 1
HER
32%
25%
42%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ADO
2 - 1
NAC
51%
25%
25%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
NAC
3 - 0
ZWO
37%
27%
36%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
RKC
0 - 4
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 0
VVV
57%
23%
20%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |