AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
8.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
SCH
2 - 4
AZA
38%
25%
37%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
AZA
0 - 0
TWE
66%
19%
14%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 0
AZA
59%
21%
19%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
AZA
3 - 2
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
RKC
0 - 1
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 6
PSV
16%
23%
61%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
HER
4 - 2
NAC
47%
24%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
NAC
2 - 1
NEC
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2006 |
AZA
3 - 2
NAC
75%
16%
9%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
AJA
1 - 1
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | 0 |