AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
HFC
3 - 3
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
AZA
2 - 3
AJA
41%
24%
35%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
GAE
2 - 1
AZA
23%
23%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
AZA
0 - 0
FOR
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1983 |
RJC
1 - 0
AZA
26%
24%
50%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
2 - 2
RJC
35%
27%
38%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1983 |
ZWO
2 - 1
NAC
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1983 |
NAC
3 - 1
TWE
28%
28%
45%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1983 |
NEC
1 - 1
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
NAC
1 - 5
PSV
13%
23%
64%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |