AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
3
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
AZA
1 - 0
WAG
92%
6%
2%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
RJC
2 - 2
AZA
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1981 |
AZA
5 - 0
GRO
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 61 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 1
GAE
83%
11%
6%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1981 |
AZA
4 - 2
IPS
70%
16%
14%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 1981 |
ADO
1 - 2
NAC
61%
21%
18%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1981 |
NAC
4 - 2
GRO
58%
23%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1981 |
EXC
1 - 2
NAC
53%
24%
22%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1981 |
NAC
0 - 2
PSV
16%
24%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |
| 12 May. 1981 |
AJA
4 - 1
NAC
89%
8%
3%
|
66 | 88 | 22 | -1 |