AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.1%
6.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1980 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
67%
18%
15%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
3 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
EXC
81%
13%
6%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1980 |
SPA
3 - 3
AZA
29%
26%
45%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 1
ADO
75%
16%
10%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
HFC
56%
24%
20%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1980 |
WIL
3 - 1
NAC
54%
26%
21%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1980 |
NAC
2 - 1
SPA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 1980 |
VIT
2 - 0
NAC
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1980 |
NAC
1 - 0
GAE
45%
26%
30%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |