AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
AZA
0 - 3
AJA
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
51%
25%
23%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
AMS
0 - 0
AZA
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
60%
23%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
NEC
48%
27%
25%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 1976 |
NAC
0 - 1
UTR
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1976 |
NAC
1 - 0
TEL
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
NAC
64%
21%
14%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |