AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.9%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
38.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1971 |
MVV
1 - 0
AZA
62%
22%
15%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
NEC
3 - 0
AZA
59%
25%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
AZA
0 - 2
TWE
22%
32%
47%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
AZA
1 - 3
UTR
27%
29%
44%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
GAE
2 - 0
AZA
67%
20%
13%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1971 |
PSV
1 - 1
NAC
74%
16%
10%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1971 |
SPA
1 - 1
NAC
67%
19%
14%
|
68 | 82 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1971 |
NAC
1 - 0
EXC
66%
20%
14%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 1971 |
NAC
3 - 1
MVV
51%
25%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 1971 |
TEL
2 - 1
NAC
47%
26%
26%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |