AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
30%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1970 |
AZA
1 - 1
ADO
27%
26%
47%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
AZA
1 - 0
VVD
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
TWE
5 - 1
AZA
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 0
PSV
26%
25%
49%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1970 |
SHS
2 - 3
AZA
65%
20%
15%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 1
AJA
17%
23%
60%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1970 |
TWE
7 - 0
NAC
72%
17%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
NEC
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1970 |
NAC
1 - 2
SPA
42%
28%
30%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1970 |
GAE
2 - 0
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | -1 |