AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
21.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
GAE
5 - 0
AZA
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 0
AZA
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
AZA
2 - 0
PSV
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
NAC
2 - 2
PSV
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
DWS
2 - 0
NAC
61%
22%
17%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
MVV
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1968 |
FEY
2 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
NAC
0 - 0
TWE
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |