AZ Alkmaar vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
PSV
7 - 1
AZA
82%
12%
6%
|
71 | 88 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
66%
20%
14%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1999 |
VIT
0 - 1
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1999 |
SCH
2 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
18%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
AZA
1 - 3
GRA
67%
20%
14%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1999 |
MVV
1 - 0
SCH
24%
24%
53%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
WIL
4 - 1
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1999 |
MVV
3 - 3
NAC
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1999 |
UTR
0 - 2
MVV
68%
19%
14%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1999 |
MVV
1 - 1
SPA
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |