AZ Alkmaar vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
30.8%
Draw
0-0
13.4%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
SPA
4 - 1
AZA
84%
11%
5%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
ADO
4 - 0
AZA
81%
13%
6%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
AZA
0 - 0
BOS
46%
28%
26%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
83%
12%
5%
|
57 | 84 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 1972 |
MVV
2 - 0
UTR
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1972 |
MVV
3 - 2
SPA
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 1972 |
EXC
0 - 0
MVV
39%
29%
32%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1972 |
MVV
4 - 1
ADO
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 1972 |
BOS
1 - 0
MVV
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | -1 |