AZ Alkmaar vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.3%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
32.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
PSV
6 - 0
AZA
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
42%
31%
27%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
76%
15%
9%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
AZA
0 - 1
GAE
30%
31%
38%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
SPA
2 - 1
AZA
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1970 |
MVV
2 - 0
NEC
52%
28%
21%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1970 |
GAE
1 - 0
MVV
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
FEY
16%
25%
59%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1970 |
UTR
0 - 0
MVV
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1970 |
MVV
1 - 1
HFC
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |