AZ Alkmaar vs MVV Maastricht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
FEY
2 - 0
AZA
84%
10%
6%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
AZA
1 - 2
TWE
51%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
TEL
1 - 1
AZA
49%
25%
26%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
AZA
2 - 0
SHS
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
SPA
2 - 2
AZA
74%
15%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
MVV Maastricht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
MVV
2 - 4
PSV
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1968 |
DWS
2 - 0
MVV
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1968 |
NEC
1 - 0
MVV
59%
22%
20%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 1968 |
MVV
2 - 3
FEY
20%
26%
53%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1968 |
MVV
2 - 0
DWS
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |