Europa League 1/16
Global 6-1
AZ Alkmaar vs Levski Sofia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.8%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
8.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 1980 |
TWE
1 - 1
AZA
53%
23%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1980 |
AZA
4 - 1
MVV
80%
13%
7%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1980 |
LSO
1 - 1
AZA
36%
24%
40%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1980 |
AJA
1 - 2
AZA
66%
18%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
AZA
6 - 1
NEC
84%
11%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Levski Sofia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1980 |
CVA
1 - 1
LSO
41%
28%
31%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1980 |
LSO
1 - 1
SPA
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1980 |
LSO
1 - 1
AZA
36%
24%
40%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1980 |
CSK
2 - 2
LSO
59%
22%
19%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1980 |
LSO
2 - 0
MAR
67%
19%
15%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |