AZ Alkmaar vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
AZA
4 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
AZA
1 - 1
HER
69%
18%
13%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ZWO
0 - 3
AZA
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
ZRI
4 - 3
AZA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
AZA
2 - 0
SPA
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 0
WAR
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
POG
3 - 4
WAR
51%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
2 - 1
GÓR
50%
23%
27%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
WAR
3 - 2
ASV
14%
21%
65%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
PGL
1 - 1
WAR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |