Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 0-2
AZ Alkmaar vs Ipswich Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
AZA
2 - 2
FEY
40%
25%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1978 |
VIT
3 - 4
AZA
25%
22%
53%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
AZA
0 - 2
VIT
85%
10%
5%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
AZA
8 - 1
VVV
74%
16%
10%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
PSV
3 - 1
AZA
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ipswich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
IPS
0 - 2
ASV
51%
25%
25%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1978 |
MID
0 - 0
IPS
40%
28%
32%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1978 |
IPS
3 - 0
MUD
43%
25%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 1978 |
IPS
0 - 3
LIV
36%
29%
35%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1978 |
WBA
2 - 1
IPS
52%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |