AZ Alkmaar vs Heracles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
8.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ADO
0 - 2
AZA
26%
24%
50%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
5 - 1
WIL
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
DNI
1 - 2
AZA
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
PSV
3 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
AZA
3 - 2
NEC
76%
16%
9%
|
82 | 67 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heracles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
VIT
5 - 1
HER
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 2
NEC
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
AJA
0 - 0
HER
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
HER
0 - 4
TWE
45%
25%
30%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
SPA
2 - 0
HER
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |