AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
53%
23%
25%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
HER
2 - 0
AZA
24%
24%
52%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2013 |
PAO
2 - 2
AZA
42%
24%
35%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
AZA
1 - 2
TWE
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 2
AZA
19%
23%
58%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
AZA
2 - 2
SCH
53%
23%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
ZWO
1 - 2
SCH
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SCH
1 - 2
FEY
47%
23%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
ADO
1 - 1
SCH
27%
24%
49%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 1
GAE
72%
17%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |