AZ Alkmaar vs Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
ANZ
1 - 0
AZA
36%
27%
38%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
HER
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
AJA
2 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
F95
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
AZA
3 - 1
BVO
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2012 |
MFK
2 - 0
SCH
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FEY
1 - 1
SCH
46%
24%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 2
NEC
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
RAP
1 - 0
SCH
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
4 - 0
RAP
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |