AZ Alkmaar vs HFC Haarlem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1977 |
AZA
3 - 0
EIN
79%
15%
7%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1977 |
GRA
0 - 0
AZA
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1977 |
AZA
4 - 1
NEC
65%
20%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1977 |
RJC
0 - 2
AZA
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
AZA
2 - 0
AMS
66%
20%
14%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
HFC Haarlem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1977 |
HFC
2 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
20%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1977 |
NEC
1 - 2
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1977 |
HFC
2 - 0
RJC
41%
27%
32%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1977 |
AMS
1 - 0
HFC
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1977 |
HFC
0 - 3
FEY
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | -1 |