AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 2
AZA
28%
25%
48%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AZA
5 - 1
ZWO
52%
24%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SCH
4 - 2
AZA
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
AZA
2 - 4
PSV
30%
24%
46%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
TWE
2 - 2
AZA
33%
25%
42%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
UTR
0 - 2
GRA
77%
15%
8%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
1 - 1
TWE
23%
24%
53%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
GRO
3 - 1
GRA
57%
24%
19%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
GRA
2 - 2
BVO
39%
25%
37%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
FEY
3 - 1
GRA
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | 0 |