AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
20.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RJC
0 - 2
AZA
74%
17%
9%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1996 |
AZA
1 - 2
SPA
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
GRO
1 - 0
AZA
63%
20%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AZA
3 - 1
UTR
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1996 |
NAC
1 - 0
AZA
67%
19%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
VIT
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 82 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1996 |
FOR
0 - 3
GRA
48%
26%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 2
WIL
50%
25%
25%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
AJA
1 - 1
GRA
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
GRA
2 - 1
PSV
16%
20%
65%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +1 |