AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
3.5%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1982 |
TWE
2 - 0
AZA
40%
24%
36%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 1
ZWO
83%
12%
6%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1982 |
WIL
2 - 3
AZA
18%
22%
60%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 0
FEY
54%
22%
24%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
NEC
0 - 3
AZA
13%
21%
67%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 1982 |
GRA
2 - 4
RJC
36%
28%
36%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1982 |
UTR
5 - 0
GRA
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 78 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
1 - 4
GAE
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1982 |
PSV
4 - 0
GRA
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 88 | 32 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
0 - 0
NAC
43%
27%
30%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |