AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
AZA
2 - 1
RJC
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1976 |
AMS
2 - 6
AZA
46%
27%
28%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
AZA
1 - 1
FEY
24%
24%
53%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
GAE
1 - 1
AZA
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1976 |
EIN
1 - 0
GRA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
3 - 0
NEC
47%
27%
27%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1976 |
RJC
3 - 0
GRA
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 1976 |
GRA
1 - 5
AMS
48%
26%
26%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1976 |
FEY
5 - 0
GRA
86%
10%
5%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |