AZ Alkmaar vs De Graafschap analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 1975 |
PSV
6 - 1
AZA
79%
13%
7%
|
76 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
AZA
3 - 0
RJC
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 1975 |
ADO
3 - 0
AZA
50%
26%
24%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
AZA
2 - 0
EXC
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
De Graafschap
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 1975 |
NAC
1 - 0
GRA
55%
23%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 4
PSV
16%
19%
65%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1975 |
RJC
3 - 3
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1975 |
GRA
2 - 2
ADO
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1975 |
EXC
3 - 0
GRA
34%
25%
40%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |