AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
17.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
RJC
6 - 0
AZA
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
62%
22%
16%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
VVV
4 - 0
AZA
34%
25%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1985 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
47%
26%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
PSV
4 - 0
AZA
74%
15%
11%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
GAE
3 - 1
MVV
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1985 |
EXC
0 - 1
GAE
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
GAE
0 - 0
SPA
53%
23%
24%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1985 |
TWE
0 - 0
GAE
59%
23%
18%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1985 |
GAE
1 - 2
AJA
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | -1 |