AZ Alkmaar vs Go Ahead Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 0
INT
70%
19%
11%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
FOR
2 - 1
AZA
16%
19%
65%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1982 |
AZA
4 - 1
HEL
91%
7%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1982 |
AZA
1 - 0
LIM
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1982 |
FEY
3 - 2
AZA
50%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Go Ahead Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1982 |
GAE
1 - 4
RJC
52%
23%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1982 |
ZWO
0 - 1
GAE
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1982 |
GAE
3 - 3
TWE
35%
26%
38%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 1
GAE
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1982 |
GAE
2 - 4
PSV
22%
24%
55%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |