AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
AZA
1 - 3
RKC
61%
22%
17%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
NEC
1 - 1
AZA
32%
25%
43%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
AZA
2 - 4
RJC
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
RBC
2 - 3
AZA
20%
22%
57%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
PSV
3 - 0
AZA
73%
16%
12%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2001 |
FOR
2 - 1
RBC
59%
22%
19%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2001 |
UTR
1 - 0
FOR
66%
19%
14%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
RKC
1 - 0
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 3
AJA
15%
20%
65%
|
66 | 87 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 0
GRA
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |