AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 1999 |
UTR
2 - 2
AZA
47%
25%
29%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
AZA
3 - 1
BVO
64%
20%
15%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1999 |
RJC
8 - 2
AZA
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 1
RKC
76%
16%
9%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 1999 |
TWE
0 - 3
AZA
53%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 2
UTR
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1999 |
FOR
3 - 1
FCE
59%
22%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 1999 |
VIT
1 - 2
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1999 |
FOR
2 - 0
BVO
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1999 |
RKC
0 - 0
FOR
37%
26%
38%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |