AZ Alkmaar vs Fortuna Sittard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
18.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
SPA
3 - 1
AZA
65%
18%
16%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
AZA
2 - 0
NAC
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
GAE
5 - 0
AZA
72%
16%
12%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
AZA
1 - 1
GRO
54%
25%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
ADO
2 - 0
AZA
77%
14%
10%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Sittard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 3
PSV
39%
26%
34%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
DWS
1 - 0
FOR
63%
20%
17%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
FOR
0 - 0
MVV
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1968 |
FEY
5 - 0
FOR
90%
7%
3%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 1968 |
FOR
1 - 4
TWE
41%
27%
32%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | -1 |