AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2005 |
AZA
1 - 1
NEC
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
RBC
0 - 2
AZA
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2004 |
GRA
2 - 0
AZA
35%
24%
42%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2004 |
AZA
5 - 0
TWE
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
AZA
2 - 0
ADO
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
FEY
1 - 2
VIT
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
ADO
2 - 0
FEY
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2004 |
BAS
1 - 0
FEY
32%
22%
46%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
FEY
3 - 3
PSV
49%
23%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
FEY
2 - 1
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |