AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
NEC
0 - 3
AZA
13%
21%
67%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
GRO
1 - 3
AZA
20%
22%
58%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1982 |
AZA
0 - 1
HFC
83%
11%
5%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1982 |
MVV
0 - 4
AZA
16%
22%
63%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
RJC
1 - 2
AZA
22%
23%
55%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1982 |
FEY
1 - 0
RJC
80%
13%
7%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1982 |
GRA
3 - 3
FEY
13%
23%
64%
|
88 | 56 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 1982 |
UTR
2 - 1
FEY
30%
25%
45%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1982 |
FEY
2 - 0
GAE
79%
13%
8%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1982 |
PSV
1 - 2
FEY
52%
23%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |