AZ Alkmaar vs Feyenoord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
67.5%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
NEC
3 - 2
AZA
64%
23%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
AZA
2 - 1
PSV
22%
29%
50%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
GAE
1 - 2
AZA
76%
16%
8%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1972 |
AZA
1 - 4
AMS
30%
29%
41%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 1972 |
HFC
2 - 0
AZA
53%
24%
23%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Feyenoord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1972 |
BEO
2 - 1
FEY
24%
22%
53%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1972 |
FEY
2 - 1
MVV
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1972 |
FEY
4 - 3
BEO
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1972 |
SPA
1 - 1
FEY
34%
25%
41%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1972 |
FEY
7 - 0
EXC
93%
5%
2%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |