AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.8%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.5%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.1%
5.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 1983 |
TWE
0 - 6
AZA
30%
25%
46%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1983 |
AZA
2 - 0
NEC
81%
13%
6%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
AZA
0 - 0
PSV
50%
23%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
SPA
1 - 1
AZA
28%
23%
49%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
AZA
3 - 1
EXC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
ZWO
5 - 0
RJC
31%
27%
41%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1983 |
GRO
3 - 0
ZWO
76%
15%
9%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
ZWO
0 - 1
TWE
20%
26%
54%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
NEC
1 - 1
ZWO
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
ZWO
0 - 2
PSV
13%
22%
65%
|
61 | 88 | 27 | 0 |