AZ Alkmaar vs PEC Zwolle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
9.9%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.9%
4.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 1980 |
TWE
4 - 1
AZA
57%
22%
21%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1980 |
AZA
2 - 2
RJC
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1980 |
FEY
3 - 1
AZA
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
AZA
1 - 0
UTR
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1980 |
WIL
0 - 6
AZA
19%
24%
57%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
PEC Zwolle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1980 |
ZWO
3 - 0
HFC
60%
23%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1980 |
VIT
0 - 0
ZWO
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1980 |
ZWO
2 - 1
GAE
46%
26%
29%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
NAC
2 - 1
ZWO
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
ZWO
3 - 0
AJA
18%
21%
62%
|
67 | 88 | 21 | +2 |